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Spring About To Take Another Hit

Boy, I sure don’t like our timing with this weather pattern that we’ve been in for seemingly the last month or so.  I’m not sure when the last nice weekend was!  Oh well, while we’re not looking at a total wash out this weekend, conditions are certainly going to be far less than ideal!

Our first round of showers and embedded thunderstorms will move through the region during mainly the daytime hours Saturday.  Rainfall amounts of .25 to .50 are possible with round 1.

After a break in the precipitation Saturday evening into the majority of the daytime hours Sunday, a strong upper trough and associated strong cold front will crash in here Sunday evening, crossing the mountains around midday Monday.  Some strong storms and heavy rain should accompany this round of precipitation, with rainfall amounts of .5 to 1″ not uncommon across a large portion of the region.

Once the front passes through the mountains, a MUCH colder air mass will build in with falling PM temps. Monday.  I’m still looking at the possibility of some kind of upper level disturbance possibly providing some light precipitation to the region Monday evening, and if this is indeed the case, some of the precipitation could fall in the form of some light snow.  Of course, we’re not talking about any kind of accumulations, but it’ll be one heck of a change from the recent summer-like warmth!

The more serious news Monday night and Tuesday night will be the threat of a frost or freeze across the entire county.  Temperatures are likely headed for the 20s by Tuesday or Wednesday morning so definitely hold off on that gardening!

April 25, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

Top Locales For The Snow Lover

Askmen.com published a survey some time ago with the top 10 locations (across the globe) for the snow enthusiast. Of the 10 global top winter weather destinations, the following were located in the United States.

#10 Anchorage/ Fairbanks, AK: Ice Fishing, Dog Sledding, Ice Hockey, Skiing, and a variety of Winter Carnivals make this a popular destination.

#2 Vail, CO: Amazing amounts of terrain make this a winter haven for winter weather sports enthusiasts. The ski slopes are very diverse and the snow is great!

To me, a perfect winter weather destination would include two things. LOTS of snow, but a good bit of sunshine, as well. That’s why Breckenridge, CO (about 25 min. east of Vail, BTW) was so appealing to me. The town averages 300 inches of snowfall a year, however, also averages 300 days of sunshine each year. The combination of snow, sun, low humidity, and lack of icy precipitation makes this a spectacular location to spend a winter. If you ever have the chance to visit, definitely take advantage of it!

Not only do you have the popular winter weather sports of ice skating, snow shoeing, skiing, snow boarding, ice hockey, etc., but a variety of festivals make this a “happening” location all winter. The Budweiser Snow Sculpting competition is simply amazing. The Christmas and New Year’s celebrations throughout the town always get you in the holiday mood!

April 21, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

Winter Just Rolls On For Some Parts Of The Country. . .

While the southeast, and southern Appalachian region in particular dealt with well below normal snowfall this season, other areas of the country have experienced a banner year in the snowfall department.  Of course, record snowfall accumulated in the upper Midwest, however, the Rocky Mountain communities have had a particularly snowy and cold time of things this season as well.

Below is an article out of the Summit Daily (Breckenridge, Colorado’s daily newspaper).  Check www.summitdaily.com for additional reports.

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

SUMMIT COUNTY — As much as High Country locals love powder, this year’s combination of cold temperatures, gloomy skies and continuing April snowstorms have had a somewhat less than positive impact on the overall mood of the community.

“You hear it everywhere,” Breckenridge resident Guy Natanel said. “Even people who are hard-core winter enthusiasts are breaking.”

Local psychologist Dr. Bryan Austill agrees with Natanel’s observation.

“I’ve seen more Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) this year, and more severe episodes of depression in general,” he said.

According to Austill, several factors contributed to this year’s spike in negative mood. Regular sufferers of SAD are particularly susceptible to the decrease in light that naturally occurs with the brief days of winter. When the days shorten, their bodies produce more of the sleep hormone melatonin, rendering them sleepy throughout the day.

“They sleep much more. They feel like eating more carbohydrates and sugar, and they drink more alcohol,” he said.

Short days are only part of the problem, though, Austill added. Weather events such as frequent snowstorms only serve to reinforce feelings of helplessness and hopelessness — both major contributors to depression. Coupled with the potential social isolation encouraged by the dark and cold of winter, these feelings can be devastating to those predisposed to any kind of depression — seasonal or otherwise.

Normally, SAD symptoms start to clear up in the spring, when days lengthen and the sun emerges.

“People with SAD will simply feel better,” Austill said. “Even people with major depressive disorders tend to feel better as the sun comes out.”

In Summit County this year, however, the days may be getting longer, but the other features of winter have yet to ease up.

“It just feels that this winter is never-ending,” Natanel observed. “It’s depressing. You need the sun.”

Although not a sufferer of SAD, Natanel’s reaction to the recent spate of sunless days is reminiscent of a phenomenon seen by Austill in his practice: the attraction of Colorado’s usually sunny climate for those with problems with depression.

“I see people here with mood disorders who have moved out of gray climates — particularly the upper Midwest — in order to treat their symptoms,” he said. For these people, this year’s higher than usual number of gloomy days has been particularly challenging.

An unusual year
And it has been gloomy this year.

“No one measures actual sunshine,” Breckenridge weather-watcher Rick Bly admitted. The measurable precipitation numbers he’s been collecting for the past 30 years, though, give a pretty good indication of what’s been different about this year’s weather.

“Normally, between Oct. 1 and April 1 we see 50 days of measurable precipitation,” he said. This winter, precipitation occurred on 92 days — the equivalent of three straight months — during the same period.

In Bly’s opinion, unusually low temperatures exacerbated this nearly 100 percent increase in cloudy days. According to his readings, Breckenridge recorded only three days above freezing between Dec. 3 and Feb. 14.

“It seemed even more gloomy because of the cold,” he said.

This year’s snow amounts have also been out of the ordinary. With projected totals of around 180 inches, Bly expects 2007-2008 will turn out to be the eighth snowiest winter on record for Breckenridge. The last time the town experienced this much snow was in 1996 — the third snowiest year in history — when he measured 240 inches.

Breckenridge’s peak snow year occurred in 1898-1899, when 398 inches fell in town, with 120 inches in March alone.

Bly’s long-time weather focus has allowed him to put this year in perspective. While he acknowledged that unusual cold temperatures cost him customers in his retail business despite the above average snow, it could’ve been a lot worse.

“In 1980-81, we only got 57 inches of snow,” he said. “It was sunny and nice all winter, but it was depressing because a lot of people went broke.”

A different perspective
While he hasn’t seen an increase in actual SAD in his Breckenridge office, family practice physician Dr. Kendrick Adnan credits this year’s unusual snow accumulation with creating a general “crankiness” in his patients.

“I saw a lot of locals who love the skiing, but they’re sick of doing all the snow removal,” he said. “Some living up on Hoosier Pass are almost living in snow caves.”

In terms of the actual medical effects of the cold and snowy winter, Adnan says he’s seen more frequent and more severe upper respiratory infections, a “really bad” flu season, and, because of the frequency of low pressure weather fronts, an increased number of high altitude pulmonary edema (HAPE) cases.

“We saw seven HAPEs in one day this winter,” he said.

Adnan’s training in other modalities besides traditional Western medicine has given him a somewhat different attitude toward the long winter.

“In the West, we push, push, push,” he said. “We get cranky because we reject the seasons. In Chinese medicine, we try to embrace them. The dead of winter is the time to retreat and replenish our energy.”

Although generally philosophical about the weather, Natanel, like many locals, has had enough.

“We’re going to Moab this weekend,” he said. “Then next week we’ll go to Israel for a month. Hopefully the snow will be gone by the time we get back.”

Harriet Hamilton can be reached at (970) 668-4651, or at hhamilton@summitdaily.com.

Seasonal Affective Disorder facts
• First described by Hippocrates in the fifth century B.C.
• Officially named SAD in 1984
• Rarely seen south of the 30th parallel (which runs through Houston)
• About 5 percent of New York State residents and 10 percent of those living in Alaska suffer from some form of SAD
• Causes may include disruption of the body’s internal clock, an increase in production of the sleep hormone melatonin, and/or a drop in the body’s secretion of the feel-good neurotransmitter serotonin — all because of a decrease in sunlight
• Symptoms include depression, loss of energy, social withdrawal, oversleeping, carbohydrate craving, and weight gain
• Treatments include light therapy, exercise, getting outdoors, maintaining social involvement, and, of course, waiting for spring
• For more information on SAD, visit the Mayo Clinic’s website at www.mayoclinic.com/health/seasonal-affective-disorder

April 19, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

Ah, The Variety Of Wintry Precipitation

As is typical with spring winter weather events, the wintry mix of precipitation that falls with unseasonbly cold storms that rotate through the southern Appalachians (such as like the one the impacted our region this Monday) can produce much more than just snow.

A mix of snow, ice pellets, and a chilly drizzle fell across Johnson County Monday. Some higher elevations, above 4k feet, accumulated a couple inches of wet snow, however, communities where “most folks” live (in between 2k and 3k feet), only some a brief dusting from time to time.

Below, I want to go over the different types of wintry precipitation that you can come to expect here in southern Appalachia, if not again this year, well….October isn’t too far away you know- HA! Thanks to dictionary.com for presenting the “textbook” definition.

Snow: Snow is a type of precipitation in the form of crystalline water ice, consisting of a multitude of snowflakes that fall from clouds. Since snow is composed of small ice particles, it is a granular material. It has an open and therefore soft structure, unless packed by external pressure.

Sleet: precipitation in the form of ice pellets created by the freezing of rain as it falls

Graupel: A small, white ice particle that falls as precipitation and breaks apart easily when it lands on a surface

Freezing Rain: rain that falls as a liquid but freezes into glaze upon contact with the ground

Freezing Drizzle: drizzle that falls as a liquid but freezes into glaze or rime upon contact with the ground

April 15, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | 1, Winter Weather | | No Comments

From The NWS- Morristown, TN

Below is from the NWS out of Morristown, TN.
________________________________________________________________________________________________

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
416 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008

...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE TODAY FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF THE NORTHERN AND SMOKY MOUNTAINS OF EAST TENNESSEE...

.UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY. THESE DISTURBANCES WILL BRING MUCH
COLDER AIR AND UPSLOPE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS...WHICH WILL COMBINE
TO CREATE OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

MOSTLY SNOW SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET
...WITH 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SMOKY MOUNTAINS OF EAST TENNESSEE.

STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MORRISTOWN...ON THIS STATION OR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO.

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-141630-
/O.CON.KMRX.SN.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-080414T2000Z/
JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE-UNICOI-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNTAIN CITY...COSBY...CEDAR CREEK...
ERWIN...ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE...GATLINBURG
416 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SMOKY MOUNTAINS OF
EAST TENNESSEE.

RAIN SHOWERS WILL MIX WITH AND GRADUALLY CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS
THIS MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON...
POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN SHOWERS AT TIMES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...MOST ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE
ABOVE 3000 FEET.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.  DRIVING
AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS.
BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

$$

TG

April 14, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

A Snowy Start To The Week!

Below is from the NWS out of Morristown, TN. Please stay tuned to MCWC for the latest weather info. for Mtn. City and Johnson Co. Also, please refer to the archives to the bottom right for reasons as to why we were concerned for one more bout of winter in April. These posts were from early and mid March stating our concerns.

If you have snowfall reports send these to billsweather@hotmail.com. Thanks and make it a GREAT Monday!
____________________________________________________________________________
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
825 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

…SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY…

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO VALLEY REGION…WILL SEND
SEVERAL WEATHER DISTURBANCES SOUTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THROUGH MONDAY. THESE DISTURBANCES WILL BRING MUCH
COLDER AIR AND UPSLOPE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS…WHICH WILL COMBINE
TO CREATE OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO MOSTLY SNOW ABOVE
2500 FEET.

STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MORRISTOWN…ON THIS STATION OR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO.

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-140830-
/O.CON.KMRX.SN.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-080414T2000Z/
JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE-UNICOI-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…MOUNTAIN CITY…COSBY…CEDAR CREEK…
ERWIN…ROAN MOUNTAIN…CADES COVE…GATLINBURG
825 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

…SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY…

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY.

RAIN SHOWERS WILL MIX WITH AND GRADUALLY CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS
TONIGHT. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY…WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. MOST ACCUMULATING SNOW
WILL BE ABOVE 3000 FEET.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING…BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. DRIVING
AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS.
BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL…SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

$$

April 14, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

A Wacky Weekend

Weather conditions will go from one extreme to the other over the course of just a couple of days this weekend. Anything and everything from thunderstorms to accumulating snow can be expected as a potent spring storm plows north and east.

Now, first let’s touch on the severe weather. While an isolated severe cell or two is possible in east TN Friday, I don’t think we’re looking at any sort of widespread severe weather outbreak. That will remain to our west, where our friends in Memphis, Jackson, and Nashville will need to stay tuned to local media. I actually don’t even think we’re looking at much in the way of significant rainfall as this front comes through Friday night. Most rainfall amounts should be under one half inch. Otherwise, most of the daytime hours Friday are dry and very warm. Temperatures will soar to near summer levels for some, in fact.

Now, that’s good for the spring side of the storm. The winter side of this baby will move in during the day Sunday (after a cloudy, but seasonal Saturday). Sunday will feature a good amounts of cloud cover as the moist northwest upslope flow banks up against the western slope. Then, Sunday night, an upper level low will begin to take shape and slowly track across the Appalachians. This will combine with the MUCH colder temperatures and upslope flow to produce periods of rain and snow showers by Sunday evening, switching on over to all snow Sunday night. Periods of snow will continue during the day Monday.

Now, it’s difficult to get much accumulation out of a storm this time of year during the day. This is due to the more intense high sun angle. That said, accumulating snow is still possible if the snowfall rates are heavy enough. Regardless, snow should accumulate down to the 2,000 foot level Sunday night through Monday night (1-3″). For those folks above 4,000 feet, well you may be in store for snowfall amounts of around half a foot, or so, by the time all’s said and done.

Hopefully you read the post and listened to the pod cast from a few weeks ago targeting the 5th-15th of April as a time period where one more bout of winter weather would “impose” itself. After this, I think the snow will be over with for the ‘07-’08 season….

Be sure to stay tuned to www.mountaincityweathercenter.com over the weekend for the latest on this developing weather situation.

April 11, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

The Wedge…

I just got back from spending the weekend over in Asheville, NC.  Asheville is an awesome city (minus the hideous road system), and my girlfriend and I took in several of the “touristy” things to do in the area, with my favorite probably being the Biltmore Estate.  Now, I’m no history buff  (in fact, unless weather or sports are involved I usually don’t like talking history), however, in my older age, I am beginning to appreciate the subject I hated most through my elementary school days, but that Biltmore House is simply remarkable, and I found myself drifting back to thinking what it would have been like living here in 1895 when the house opened (Christmas Eve, to be exact- how’s that for a Christmas present?!).  A tour to the Biltmore House coupled with many stops in the shops and restaurants through the town made for a really enjoyable weekend.

ANYWAY…it was really interesting watching the wedge set up along the eastern slope of the Blue Ridge.  When we talk about the wedge (or cold air damming events) all it is is a cold push of air, most of the time associated with high pressure (centered over New England or the mid Atlantic) nosing a chilly northeasterly flow into the southern Appalachian region.  Similar to northwesterly upslope flow events on this side of the mountain, a northeasterly flow is an upslope flow for the eastern half of the divide.  This pushes shallow cold air down the eastern slopes of the mountains and can lead to ice storms quite frequently during the winter months.  Now while the CAD, or wedge, typically impacts the eastern slope of the Appalachians (from Boone, Blowing Rock south to Asheville and even into GA), if the event is strong enough, the cooler air can “ooze” down the Trade gorge and impact the eastern sections of Johnson County as well.  Such was the case this weekend.

wedge.jpg

When we arrived in Asheville Saturday morning, temperatures were in the middle 50s, with showers and a westerly wind.  That said, as the afternoon ”churned” on, I felt the wind back around to the east and within minutes of the wind shift, temperatures began a slow decline.  The slow decline in temperatures was also accompanied by low clouds, fog, and drizzle.  Sunday was stuck in the upper 30s to lower 40s.  (Even a little light freezing rain was reported in the Blowing Rock community earlier in the day).  As we ventured back “over the mountain” that chilly easterly upslope flow switched around to a “milder” downslope flow on the TN side of the mountain (in Unicoi County).  That low cloudiness and fog gave way to brightening skies, a ten degree temperature jump, and a gusty downsloping wind. 

Ah…you have to love mountain weather!

(Thanks to Intellicast for the above graphic).

March 31, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

NWS issues *SNOW ADVISORY* for possibility of convective, heavy snow showers this afternoon.

Below is from the NWS out of Morristown, TN:
___________________________________________________________________________
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1043 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2008

…SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS…

.AN UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TODAY PRODUCING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
THE SNOW BANDS COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES REDUCING
VISIBILITIES OVER THE AREA.

NCZ060-TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-087-102-VAZ002-242000-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SN.Y.0006.080324T1443Z-080324T2000Z/
CHEROKEE-JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE-UNICOI-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-WISE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…MURPHY…MOUNTAIN CITY…COSBY…
CEDAR CREEK…ERWIN…ROAN MOUNTAIN…CADES COVE…GATLINBURG…
COKER CREEK…DUCKTOWN…WISE
1043 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2008

…SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. THE
SNOWFALL CAN BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO
LESS THAN ONE-QUARTER MILE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1 AND 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER BANDS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING…BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. DRIVING
AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS.
BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL…SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION.

$$

DH

March 24, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments

This Was A Healthy Clipper!

http://www.suntimes.com/news/metro/856328,snow032208.article

 Check that link for a nice story out of the Chicago Suntimes.  Portions of the region accumulated up to one foot of snow with a clipper system that raced by Good Friday.  Some locales north of Chicago have experienced their snowiest winter on record.

March 22, 2008 Posted by wxmanbill | Winter Weather | | No Comments